2006/2007

Changing Family Patterns in Norway and other Industrialized Countries

Determinants, Consequences and Projected Trends

Social Sciences

Principal investigators

Nico Willem Keilman

Professor
University of Oslo (UiO)
Year at CAS

Øystein Kravdal

Professor
University of Oslo (UiO)
Year at CAS

Abstract

Industrialized countries have seen very marked changes in their family patterns during the last few decades. The development has been driven by, and may further stimulate, societal changes that most people welcome, such as improvements in economic opportunities and growth in individual freedom for both men and women. However, it is also possible that there are some negative side effects. The intention of this project is to address various family issues that are relevant for Norway as well as other industrialized countries. These two sub-projects will draw on the exceptionally rich Norwegian register data, which will be analysed by means of modern multi-process and multi-level statistical techniques. Survey data will also be employed. In addition, survey and register data from other countries will be used in order to place the development in Norway within an international perspective. The Nordic countries have to some extent been forerunners in the family development, especially with respect to the growth in consensual unions and out-of-wedlock fertility. Therefore, an improved understanding of contemporary behaviour in those societies should attract wide interest. In addition, such insight will contribute to the general knowledge of fertility and family processes. Knowledge of determinants and consequences of family changes will be particularly useful for policy and planning purposes if there are also good tools for projection of trends into the future. The objective of the third sub-project is to improve the models used to project family behaviour. Special emphasis will be placed on the construction of stochastic projection models that can include family characteristics. The existing versions only include age and sex. Special problems arise in such projections because they involve couples, not only individuals.

Fellows

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Arnstein Aassve

Dr.
University of Essex
Year at CAS
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Juha Alho

Professor
University of Joensuu
Year at CAS

Hans Henrik Bull

Advisor
Ministry of Local Government and Regional Development (KRD)
Year at CAS

Emily Marjatta Dorothea Grundy

Professor
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
Year at CAS

Hans-Peter Kohler

Professor
University of Pennsylvania
Year at CAS

Iliana Vassileva Kohler

Research Fellow
University of Pennsylvania
Year at CAS

Torkild Hovde Lyngstad

Statistics Norway
Year at CAS

Svenn-Erik Mamelund

Professor
Oslo Metropolitan University (OsloMet)
Year at CAS
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Michael Joseph Murphy

Professor
London School of Economics
Year at CAS
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Anne Reneflot

Cand. Polit
University of Oslo (UiO)
Year at CAS

Ronald Richard Rindfuss

Professor
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
Year at CAS

Wendy Kay Sigle-Rushton

Dr.
London School of Economics
Year at CAS

Vegard Fykse Skirbekk

Dr.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Year at CAS

Fiona Alison Steele

Dr.
University of Bristol
Year at CAS
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Laurent Toulemon

Senior Researcher
Institut National d’Etudes Démographiques (INED)
Year at CAS
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Yrsö Tapani Valkonen

Professor
University of Helsinki
Year at CAS